Šta je novo?
Sve publikacije Coface
Analize pokazuju da je povoljno ekonomsko okruženje bilo korisno za 500 najvećih preduzeća u regionu, što se pretvorilo u veće prihode. Međutim, razni izazovi uzrokovali su pad neto dobiti. Konkurencija je sve intenzivnija i potreban je veći promet da bi se mogao svrstati u rang u odnosu na prethodne godinePročitajte više
13 major sectors assessed worldwide. Coface assessments are based on 70 years of Coface expertise and on the financial data published by listed companies from 6 geographical sectors. 5 financial indicators are taken into account: turnover, profitability, the net debt ratio, cashflow, and claims observed by our risk managers.Pročitajte više
The energy industry is quickly evolving: as renewable energy sources increase in popularity compared to fossil fuels, their costs are plummeting. New forms of electricity conservation have recently become the focal point of widespread international attention, resulting in heavy investment and research. Furthermore, natural gas is increasingly losing its reputation as a cleaner energy source in the battle against climate change, as it pollutes more than renewable alternatives.Pročitajte više
During the first quarter of 2019, Coface conducted its fourth survey on businesses’ payment experience in Morocco. This survey aims to monitor the evolution of payment terms and delays. The payment behaviour reflects the evolution of both the economic situation and of the business environment.Pročitajte više
China has rapidly become a big player in 5G technology, thanks to the government’s strategy and its support of high investment in Research and Development (R&D). This new technology is part of the Made in China 2025 initiative, through which the Chinese government targets self-sufficiency in high-end industries. China coordinated its approach to 5G and some successes are already visible. For example, 40% of global patents for current 5G network standards are from Chinese firms. Moreover, Chinese companies are set to benefit from 5G. Huawei is the global leader in network infrastructures; it currently holds 29% of the market (...)Pročitajte više
During the first four months of 2019, the rate of corporate insolvencies in France increased by +0.8%. This rate was particularly high during January and February, mainly due to the repercussions of the "gilets jaunes" (yellow vests) movement; however, the increasing rate of insolvencies declined in March and April. Nonetheless, Coface anticipates that, despite resilient economic growth, insolvencies will increase by +1.7% over the whole of 2019 (…)Pročitajte više
Analize pokazuju snažan region CIE koji je u ekspanziji, sa smanjenjem rizika u 2017. godini, što je takođe prešlo u veće prihode i neto profit u 500 najvećih preduzeća u regionu. Konkurencija na vrhu postaje intenzivnija.Pročitajte više
Uprkos regionalnim konfliktima, finansijskoj krizi 2007-2008. i krizi u evrozoni u periodu od 2009. do 2011. godine, zemlje Zapadnog Balkana su razvile blizak ekonomski odnos sa Evropskom unijom kroz niz regionalnih i bilateralnih sporazuma. Međutim, zbog institucionalnih, ekonomskih i diplomatskih prepreka, pristupanje EU će biti dug proces. Istovremeno, zbog strateškog značaja regiona i jačanja uslova članstva, verovatno će se desiti pristupanje (ili pretpristupni status) - pogotovo što bi članstvo preusmerilo region od drugih zainteresovanih strana (Rusija, Kina).Pročitajte više
Starting with falling oil prices and financial markets in the winter, the Brexit referendum in the summer and the election of Donald Trump in the autumn, 2016 was punctuated by a series of upsets. Can we hope for more calm – or even improvements in 2017?
Although the end of 2016 was marked by the upsets in the US, with the unexpected outcome of the US presidential elections and the Fed’s long-awaited raising of key lending rates, neither of these events triggered a collapse in the financial markets. In emerging economies, there has even been a detectable uplift in recent months – but can this last?
The fog of uncertainty dominating the economic sphere is unlikely to lift in 2017. The forecasts on the repercussions of the events of 2016 remain unclear.
Among these uncertainties are (i) the as yet unknown and unpredictable policies of Donald Trump, both internally and in terms of spillovers (such as the impact on Mexico, where activity is already slowing, with a lowering of Coface’s assessment to B); (ii) the lack of visibility on the future of the United Kingdom, where the terms of its exit from the European Union are yet to be defined; and (iii) the dominance of political risks linked to upcoming elections1 (namely in the Netherlands, France and Germany). In addition to these undetermined risks, are “conventional” hazards, such as concerns over the slowing and rebalancing of economic activity in China and questions on how quickly the prices of raw material will rise. One new factor, however, will be the expected return of inflation, if only as a mechanical reaction from the reaching of the lowest point for raw materials prices in 2016, and even though domestic demand remains relatively restrained.
Despite these risks a number of countries (such as Spain which has been upgraded to A3) are back on track. In Central Europe, Estonia, Bulgaria, Serbia and Hungary are continuing to see their risk assessments improving. In Africa, Ghana (upgraded to B) and Kenya (to A4) are looking more positive, while there are continuing rays of hope for Brazil and Russia. Other countries have adopted good resolutions for the new year. Clearly, voluntary and often painful adjustments will need to be made, but the outlook for the medium term looks much sunnier. Following a difficult year, Argentina, looks likely to start harvesting the fruits of its labours (hence the raising of its assessment to B). Subsequent to a devaluation of its currency and the receipt of an IMF loan, Egyptian companies are expected to see an easing of payment problems, even though a slowdown in growth is anticipated. Turkey, however, remains on watch, as does South Africa, (which has been downgraded to C). Finally, this is the first time since June 2015 that Coface has upgraded more assessments than downgraded.
Poland has seen a slowing of its economy this year, compared to 2015. Nevertheless, growth is still continuing at a fair rate and, in fact, remains at a level which many other economies can only dream of.Pročitajte više
French growth has taken a time-out in Q2. The political uncertainties in the United Kingdom, the strikes in May and the floods affecting Ile-deFrance are all likely suspects responsible for this surprise halt. However, the figures are expected to recover in Q3.Pročitajte više
The importance of the Agrobusiness sector varies between the different North African economies. While on a regional level, the sector leads exports, on a country basis it differs. In Morroco, agribusiness benefits from government subsidies, as it contributes nearly 16% of GDP and provides employment for 40% of the population. Overall, across the main north African countries, the lowest level of risk is in Morocco...Pročitajte više
Nemačka: Pregled plaćanja korporacija za 2016. godinu - za sada je sve u redu, ali problemi leže u detaljimaPročitajte više
In the light of the on-going structural reforms, the "tale of two Chinas" is resulting in sector wise winners and losers, linked to their growth potential in the medium and longer term, government policies and structural demand.Pročitajte više